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Wednesday, February 22, 2012

The rarity of a 300 win pitcher


Posted by Anthony Romano.

Will we see another 300 win pitcher in our lifetime?

Roy Halladay
There have only been 24 pitchers in the history of Major League Baseball to ever reach the milestone of winning 300 games in their career. Of the 24 pitchers who reached this milestone, 20 of them have been inducted into the Hall of Fame. So this begs the question: Do we have a chance at seeing another 300 win pitcher in our lifetime?

Not many people realize just how hard it is to reach the 300 win plateau. On average, a pitcher would need to win 15 games over a 20 season duration. Not only is the 15 wins a challenge in itself, but having a pitcher be able to complete 20 full seasons, without a significant injury, is very difficult.

Here is a list of the top five active wins leaders in Major League Baseball today:

Player - season - age - wins
Roy Halladay - 14 - 34 - 188
Tim Hudson - 13 - 35 - 181
CC Sabathia - 11 - 35 - 176
Livan Hernandez - 16 - 36 - 174
Derek Lowe - 15 - 38 - 166

CC Sabathia
Of these 5 pitchers, CC Sabathia is the only pitcher who has averaged over 15 wins a season. At the rate he is going, averaging 16 wins a season, CC could possibly become the next 300 game winner in roughly seven to eight years. This means he will need to stay away from the injury bug while still piling up the wins year after year.

Roy Halladay and Tim Hudson both average over 13 wins a season and surely have a shot at 300 wins as well. The only issue they face is their ages, as Halladay will be 35 in May and Hudson 36 in July. At the current rate both pitchers are going, Halladay and Hudson could reach 300 at 42 and 43, respectively, but will have to do it without missing any significant time due to injury.

Clearly, CC Sabathia has the best opportunity to reach 300 wins as he is only 30 years old and pitches for the offensive juggernaut known as the New York Yankees. But anything can happen in baseball and only time will tell if we will see the illustrious milestone of 300 wins reached again.

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